Sunday, April 10, 2011

Latest Prediction on 2011 Hurricane Season: DUCK!

The latest prediction of the 2011 hurricane season has been released. Their prediction?

An "above average" season - compare the CSU prediction with AccuWeather's:

AccuWeather.com, March 30: Named storms: 15. Hurricanes: 8. Major: 3

Colorado State, April 6: Named storms: 16. Hurricanes: 9. Major: 5

"The closest analogs for the 2011 setup were found to be 1955, 1996, 2006 and 2008. All except 2006 had neutral or La Nina conditions, and all but 2006 were "very active" seasons."

Those in Houston should remember 2008: Hurricane IKE, a CAT 1.

"Last year in April, the CSU team predicted 15 named storms, 8 hurricanes and 4 major hurricanes. The actual count was 19 named storms (the third-most active season on record), 12 hurricanes, and 5 major hurricanes."

No hurricanes made landfall in the U.S. last year because of a "blocking high pressure" over the Atlantic. That high is missing this year...

Are you prepared?

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